Modad Geopolitics

Modad Geopolitics

Greenland: The Atlantic as America's Mare Nostrum

The Greenland crisis confirms our long-held view that America is transitioning from Republic to Empire, with immense political, military and commercial implications.

Firas Modad
Jan 20, 2026
∙ Paid

A quick glance at the global geopolitical landscape reveals the following simple insights:

  • America is an Empire, and is slowly formally transitioning to one. The myth of it being a Republic is belied by both, the rot from within and its global imperial presence abroad. The corruption of Congress almost certainly exceeds the corruption of the ancient Roman Senate. Google Nancy Pelosi’s stock tracker should you have doubts. Lobbyists run America, through Congress, and so far, this is mostly legal. It is corruption nonetheless. The moral foundation required for a republic - bonds of virtue and amity between rulers and ruled - is gone. It is in these times that the public rallies to a Sulla or a Caesar.

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  • This Republic transitioning to an Empire is in an existential conflict with a modern, pagan, mercantilist, and growing empire: China. That enemy is engaged in a historic, unprecedented military and industrial build up, intended to usurp America and the West.

  • The nature of Man dictates that Empires must collide. We are envious, avaricious, and vain, and we guard power jealously. Carthago delenda est is replaced with China delenda est, or America delenda est, as the case may be.

  • In this conflict, America’s top priority is to secure the heartland and the East Coast. The heartland - the Mississippi River basin - provides the grain, the meat and the soldierly. The Great Lakes provide the industry. The East Coast provides the intellectual elite and population centres - with the exception of California (which certainly provides population). This requires securing the Atlantic Ocean, at least, to release America to fight in the Pacific.

    Trump's 'new American map'
    A photo shared by Trump, showing Greenland and Canada as part of America.
  • Securing the Atlantic Ocean, and retaining access to European industry, is absolutely critical, given America’s industrial decline. Together, the industries of Europe and America can confront China. Alone, they are both hopeless.

  • This is even more so given Europe’s flight of fancy - be there in relation to immigration, conflict with Russia, or Net Zero. Trump therefore needs to continuously humiliate European leaders who have overseen this madness in order to force them out.

  • These dynamics require America to treat the Atlantic as the Romans treated the Mediterranean - Mare Nostrum, Our Sea.

  • The Atlantic has three access points for submarines - the Cape of Good Hope in South Africa, the Cape Horn off the coasts of Argentina and Chile, and the Arctic Ocean. Submarines are the main concern, given their ability to deliver nuclear strikes without warning and with far less possibilities for defence.

These points explain America’s strategy. Having Venezuela as a major natural resource supplier ensures that, even in a worst case scenario where the Atlantic is contested, American industry receives resources via the Caribbean and the Gulf of America (formerly Mexico). Those seas are easier to police than the vast Atlantic. Argentina is a necessary ally given its natural resources but more importantly its importance in policing the Cape Horn, hence its bailout.

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