Modad Geopolitics

Modad Geopolitics

The Houthi are about to enter the war

Red Sea shutdown imminent.

Firas Modad
Mar 09, 2026
∙ Paid

The United States is moving its second aircraft carrier strike group, the Gerald Ford, through the Red Sea to the Indian Ocean. This will likely be the moment at which the Houthi in Yemen join the war, initiating a series of attempted attacks on the Gerald Ford group to deplete its interceptors, making it an easier target for the Iranians.

The Houthi will also almost certainly re-impose their naval blockade, targeting primarily European and American shipping, and all shipping related to Israel. Moreover, Houthi involvement will disperse the American effort, giving Iran more time in which it can pursue its strategy of destroying the world economy to force the Americans to back down.

Image
A CENTCOM image of a jet taking off from the Gerald Ford.

All fronts activated

The Houthi are the only Iranian ally/proxy not yet activated. Hezbollah is engaging targets in northern Israel and sometimes Tel Aviv. It is focusing on radar infrastructure in a bid to facilitate Iranian strikes. The Iraqis are attacking American bases, including Kurdish energy and airports, and American companies in southern Iraq. The aim, similarly, is to deplete and distract the Americans. Additionally, it is very likely that countries in Latin America or Nigeria will witness attacks on American and Jewish interests, as part of a global Iranian campaign.

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