Will Iran go nuclear?
There is a 50% chance that this war result in Iran declaring that it has nuclear weapons and attempting to impose an energy embargo on the West.
In this report, I attempt to take seriously the declared intentions of Hizbullah and the Islamic Republic of Iran, and to match those with their capabilities. This is a scenario piece, not a prediction. I believe, however, that it accurately reflects the intentions and capabilities of Iran and its allies in the Resistance Axis. That said, I do not know …