Modad Geopolitics
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America is serious about Venezuela
Implications for aviation, shipping, energy, and natural resource investors.
Dec 3
•
Firas Modad
4
Lebanon: Israel plans for another war
A few days of airstrikes targeting Hezbollah are much more likely than a broad war.
Dec 1
•
Firas Modad
3
November 2025
Iraq energy security
A new attack on Khor Mor shows how the negotiations for the cabinet and for influence are being held.
Nov 27
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Firas Modad
1
The designation of the Muslim Brotherhood: a future game changer for Banking and Financial Services
The Muslim Brotherhood is an amorphous, inchoate organisation and targeting it puts most practicing Muslims in the crosshairs.
Nov 26
•
Firas Modad
5
1
Ukraine 2026: The coming collapse driving the peace process
Russian advances throughout Ukraine suggest that dramatic changes on the frontlines are likely in coming months, driving Trump to seek peace and…
Nov 21
•
Firas Modad
10
The war that solved nothing
So far, 7 October has been a relative success for Hamas, while Israel solved none of its problems. Neither war nor peace are possible, while a…
Nov 14
•
Firas Modad
4
1
Rapid Fire Update
America's government shutdown, the war on the American right, Syria's Shara' in the White House, Iraqi elections, and continuing Ukrainian collapse
Nov 11
•
Firas Modad
2
The American Right vs the State of Israel
The rise of nationalism and the consequences for Jews in the West, and in Israel.
Nov 4
•
Firas Modad
16
October 2025
America: Riots, Instability, and Colour Revolutions
Why the Democrats are forced to escalate their street violence, and whether Trump can contain it before it gets out of control.
Oct 31
•
Firas Modad
5
Decade of sorrows
Europe heads towards tragic collapse.
Oct 28
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Firas Modad
24
2
4
Trump's Middle East ambitions
Saudi normalisation prospects, Lebanon war risks, and why everyone is stuck where they are.
Oct 22
•
Firas Modad
3
China chooses war
China's escalation of the trade war suggests that a shooting war over Taiwan is likely.
Oct 16
•
Firas Modad
8
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