Modad Geopolitics
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China chooses war
China's escalation of the trade war suggests that a shooting war over Taiwan is likely.
23 hrs ago
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Firas Modad
6
A fragile ceasefire
Trump's impressive performance belies fragility in America and the region. Jewish donors face increased political risks in the USA.
Oct 14
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Firas Modad
11
American government shutdown
Trump judo flips the Democrats
Oct 8
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Firas Modad
3
Trump's ceasefire is teetering
A political disaster for Israel is brewing.
Oct 6
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Firas Modad
4
The Manchester Yom Kippur Attack
Implications for Britain's stability and Keir Starmer's premiership
Oct 3
•
Firas Modad
7
1
September 2025
Iran War Risk Update
US military movements suggest a war is imminent, raising risk to American assets throughout the Gulf, Israel, Lebanon, Azerbaijan, and Iraq.
Sep 30
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Firas Modad
5
Trump's Gaza Peace Plan
An exhausted Donald Trump and an ashen-faced Benjamin Netanyahu announced on 29 September that Israel had agreed to a peace plan for Gaza.
Sep 30
•
Firas Modad
15
1
Another Iran War?
Multiple indicators of escalation have been triggered, suggesting that war with Iran is imminent.
Sep 29
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Firas Modad
1
Recognising Palestine and the Coming Escalation
Why recognition of a Palestinian state makes everything worse, unless Trump puts his foot down.
Sep 24
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Firas Modad
12
France: "la merde" years
The philosophical and economic underpinnings of the chaos, and its commercial implications.
Sep 23
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Firas Modad
3
MBS turns the tables on the USA
Israeli extremism is willing into being its own nightmare: Islamic unity, and a breakdown in American Gulf relations.
Sep 18
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Firas Modad
4
Iran and the return of UN sanctions
The breakdown of the international order and rising risks of another war.
Sep 16
•
Firas Modad
4
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