Archive - Modad Geopolitics

How Trump's trade wars are creating new geopolitical realities and affirming old ones.

Aug 5 •

July 2025

The EU-USA Trade Deal

Implications for EU political stability and brief analysis

Jul 28 •

Britain's hot summer

Unrest, Labour's risk of collapse, and more.

Jul 25 •

The Massacre of the Druse and Implications for Syria, Jordan, and Lebanon

Syria's Islamists' taste for blood will not be abated, and Israel can do little about it. Jordan is becoming increasingly unstable.

Jul 20 •

Lebanon: No resolution in sight

Why Hezbollah cannot disarm.

Jul 11 •

Suspended Confrontation

Nothing in the Iran-US/Israel confrontation has been resolved, raising the probability of a resumed conflict.

Jul 1 •

June 2025

The Art of the Deal

Trump managed to degrade or severely damage the Iranian nuclear programme’s key facilities while avoiding a bigger war, for now.

Jun 25 •

Trump joins Netanyahu

Regime change war is inevitable

Jun 22 •

The US is about to enter the war

Indicators of US entry to the war are accumulating, raising risks to shipping, aviation and energy, and to US companies.

Jun 19 •

Israel Iran Webinar

Wednesday 18 June at 1230 UK Time, link below.

Jun 17 •

Can Trump say "No. to Netanyahu?

Israel calls for American intervention

Jun 15 •

Iran - Israel Update

Iran's limited options and implications for shipping, energy, aviation and global geopolitics.

Jun 13

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