Modad Geopolitics

Modad Geopolitics

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Trump, Putin, and the future of Ukraine (and Europe)
Why there will be no ceasefire before a final political settlement acceptable to Russia and the USA
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Firas Modad
Nvidia, AMD, and Trump
The breakdown of the international trade order and the new risks to businesses, especially those dealing in dual use goods.
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Firas Modad
Lebanon: Hezbollah vs the State
Lebanon's cabinet decision to disarm Hezbollah creates new security risks, including Syrian intervention in Lebanon.
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Firas Modad
A World Remade
How Trump's trade wars are creating new geopolitical realities and affirming old ones.
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Firas Modad

July 2025

The EU-USA Trade Deal
Implications for EU political stability and brief analysis
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Firas Modad
Britain's hot summer
Unrest, Labour's risk of collapse, and more.
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Firas Modad
The Massacre of the Druse and Implications for Syria, Jordan, and Lebanon
Syria's Islamists' taste for blood will not be abated, and Israel can do little about it. Jordan is becoming increasingly unstable.
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Firas Modad
Lebanon: No resolution in sight
Why Hezbollah cannot disarm.
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Firas Modad
Suspended Confrontation
Nothing in the Iran-US/Israel confrontation has been resolved, raising the probability of a resumed conflict.
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Firas Modad

June 2025

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