Modad Geopolitics
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After Kirk's murder
Leftist political violence reaches a tipping point
Sep 12
•
Firas Modad
10
Russian drones in Poland
Did Trump's brinkmanship invite a response in kind from Putin? And did Putin coordinate this with his partners?
Sep 10
•
Firas Modad
5
Israeli strike on Doha
Regional and global implications; why we think the Greater Israel project is going ahead, at the expense of Jordan and Egypt; and implications for…
Sep 9
•
Firas Modad
3
Strikes on Venezuela?
The US is preparing for an escalation against Maduro targeting energy and narcotics
Sep 8
•
Firas Modad
4
Iraq and the KRG: Conflict, elections, and scenarios
Why the PMUs will take a harder position on government formation, and the impact on unrest, conflict, and non-payment risks.
Sep 6
•
Firas Modad
4
Crisis Time?
Why a financial, political, and unrest crisis is becoming more likely.
Sep 3
•
Firas Modad
6
August 2025
Greater Israel: Why the war cannot end
Implications for Egypt, Jordan, Lebanon, Syria, and Turkey.
Aug 31
•
Firas Modad
14
2
Trump, Putin, and the future of Ukraine (and Europe)
Why there will be no ceasefire before a final political settlement acceptable to Russia and the USA
Aug 19
•
Firas Modad
7
Nvidia, AMD, and Trump
The breakdown of the international trade order and the new risks to businesses, especially those dealing in dual use goods.
Aug 12
•
Firas Modad
6
Lebanon: Hezbollah vs the State
Lebanon's cabinet decision to disarm Hezbollah creates new security risks, including Syrian intervention in Lebanon.
Aug 8
•
Firas Modad
5
A World Remade
How Trump's trade wars are creating new geopolitical realities and affirming old ones.
Aug 5
•
Firas Modad
4
July 2025
The EU-USA Trade Deal
Implications for EU political stability and brief analysis
Jul 28
•
Firas Modad
1
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